Thoughts about Technology & World Change :)
Thoughts about Technology & World Change :)
Tuesday, 15 November 2011
Monday, 7 November 2011
Monday, 31 October 2011
Lesson 10
Hi everyone!
Last week, the main topic of discussion was Technology Assessment and Forecasting. The session was about developing a framework for what comes next-- how we can predict what kind of technologies will be invented in the future and what we can do to ensure we achieve our objectives.
As usual, we watched many videos during the lesson and I found two videos especially interesting! The first was called "Mega Trends"-Moving Forward. The video featured a very large corporation, Siemens, which do businesses in many areas.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BWXG-TsDAqc
They look forward to develop devices and technology to help in health care, security, and green technology. As more people are moving to the urban areas, population within the urban area increases. Thus, areas such as power supply, health care, mobility and security need to be taken care of. Siemens carry out various operations to tackle this increase in population- they look forward to provide sources of water and purify them, build security systems and facilitate access to buildings where protection is paramount and invent technologies where patient data can be recorded electronically. These processes and technologies can increase efficiency and save valuable time and cost incurred.
The second video that I enjoyed was the one on “ Future, Technology and the Next 50 years Megatrends”.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-0ZhKRTFzZ0&feature=related
I found this video particularly interesting because it covers most of the predictions people have for the future. As it was taken a while back, a few predictions/forecasts presented in the video have already been introduced and are currently used by consumers. For instance, he could see the changes in the gaming industry. With technology making virtual reality possible, children now use the Internet to access toy websites such as “barbie.com” to “interact” and enter into the “barbie world”. While on the other hand, children in the past actually purchased Barbie dolls (in physical form) and play with them. He mentioned on other possible inventions in the next 50 years—cloud computing, the change in work environment and augmented reality, just to name a few.
With regards to the topic at hand, I feel that forecasting the future of technologies is indeed the right approach. It is important to dream big and work towards achieving it. Without goals and ambitions, various stakeholders will not know which direction to head towards and we may even face a stagnated economy. Hence, to prevent this from happening, it is pertinent to note the importance in being forward looking and adaptable to changes. With that, I end my post for week 10 J
(I would rate the lesson 8 out of 10! Although the lesson was rather insightful, I found it difficult to understand the technicality of such forecasting methods.)
Thursday, 20 October 2011
What do you see in the future?
Our main topic of discussion for this week’s lesson was on ‘Emerging and Future Technologies’. Like what Professor Shahi said, we could talk about anything and everything under the sun. From implanting ‘robots’ in our own body to having potential transparent phones in the near future, I would say the scope of this week’s lesson was rather broad, yet comprehensive.
Once again, I would like to elucidate the videos we watched during class on Tuesday. Videos really do make the lesson more interesting! One of the videos that Professor Shahi played in class is called ‘Al Robotics: Perfect Woman’.
Although the video lasted only 1 minute and 39 seconds, there are many implications with regards to this invention. The Japanese scientist believes in creating the ‘perfect woman’ who every man can dream of. She will not be different to a normal woman, in terms of physical appearance and abilities. Moreover, she is one who will work well, do the housework properly and not have any sort of attitude problems. Since there are many single men out there every year, inventing the ‘perfect woman’ would solve social problems caused by the surplus in males today. However, I beg to differ.
First, having such ‘perfect women’ in our society would give these robots identity problems. Will the society treat these robots as humans because they are after all women who are mates for the real men or will the society continue to treat these robots as just tools for human beings? Second, the real women out there may feel threatened by the existence of such ‘perfect women’. If more and more men accept having such robots as their wives, it would be detrimental for the society because the number of unmarried women will increase. Furthermore, how do we ensure the continuity of mankind if lesser women start families? Even if these ‘perfect women’ can do childbearing, will there be no negative side effects to the ‘babies’ born? Clearly, I do not see the future of this project because the consequences are simply overwhelming.
Moving on…
The next video that Professor Shahi played was on ‘Augmented Reality’. This video is so amazing. I am definitely looking forward to the day when we can just use our smartphones and ‘scan’ items and restaurants to find out more about their properties. As it is now, we can already use our smartphones to Google or use any sort of application that can provide details about a particular object. For instance, the application ‘ Hungry-Go-Where’ serves to bring information on location, price and previous customers’ reviews about a particular eatery. This, coupled with the article I read in reading 3 (on the website) on transparent phones, will certainly change consumer habits to an even further extent. When there are both aesthetic and extra values added to a cellphone, I am quite sure more people will purchase smart phones!
In general, I would rate Tuesday’s lesson 8/10. It was insightful and it was definitely an enjoyable lesson as we could talk about anything under the sun. However, I do wish to discuss more in detail about the implications and impacts some of these inventions will cause instead of just addressing the abilities of these items. (My apologies for having a shorter post this week compared to the previous weeks. More assignments and projects have been piling up... I sure am trying to get the hang of this workload!)I am looking forward to our next lesson J
Everyone, good luck for your upcoming presentations/projects/more tests! See you all next week!
Wednesday, 12 October 2011
Lesson 8 - Week 9
The main topic of discussion during this lesson was about the different types of clean and reliable sources of energy we can use now and in the future. (As the topic of my research paper is associated with green technology, I have gained new perspectives after yesterday’s lesson J) We had a special guest sitting in for this lesson and his field of expertise was wind turbine technology. The company he is working in invests into building wind turbines to generate power and provide it to consumers. It was a very informative session, not only did I learn more about the prospects of using the wind as an energy source, I learned more about the future of perhaps having such wind mills constructed on high rise buildings.(for example, HDB flats) The class had an engaging discussion regarding the constructive of such tools in Singapore as well.
Germany Solar Experiment (link)
We watched a video on ‘Germany Solar Experiment’. I found it particularly interesting that Germany is putting so much emphasis on solar energy. The government is providing cash incentives to people and corporations who are building solar panels or using them as a means of energy source. This encourages the people in Germany to switch to solar energy. Even the pig farmer who was featured in this video, installed solar panels in his farm. He is confident that doing business in this industry will provide returns that are promising. Businesses provide what consumers want and I believe more and more people are aware of the dire consequences should our natural resources run out one day.
I would rate the lesson 8.5/10! I feel that the issues discussed were very comprehensive and engaging J
And the main key takeaway from this lesson was... everyone please GO GREEN!
Tuesday, 11 October 2011
TWC Individual Report Draft
Topic: Green Technology- ‘Green’ Cars
Executive Summary:
Green technology is the creation of environmentally friendly goods that encompass recycling, reusing, reducing waste, energy efficiency, conservation of resources, safety and health risks, and more.
In this paper, I will focus on one particular innovation: ‘Green’ cars. Some examples are the Mild Hybrid, full Hybrid, The Range Extender and Fully Electric cars. I feel that cars-our basic mode of transportation, is so essential in our daily lives that if one day we do not have coal or fossil fuels left to generate the power of our vehicles, our lives will change drastically. Although we have trains, which are generated by electricity, those alone are not enough to transport us to any area or corner in the world. Therefore, I feel that everyone should support the use of hybrid and electric cars, as they will essentially be the type of vehicles that will facilitate our commutation.
This paper will talk about the history of electric cars and how these cars had changed our lives. In fact, these cars were invented in the 1900s and have experienced extinction in 1990s. Now, the ‘wave’ of electric cars is back. The implications of this significant innovation and my personal thoughts on the possible policies or actions we can enforce to ensure the sustainability of this innovation will also be discussed in this paper.
Introduction/Background/ History:
Green Technology was not invented in the 21st Century; it started way back in the 1800s. People then saw the need to develop alternative sources of energy to create a cleaner and greener environment for mankind to live in because resources such as coal and fossil fuels are non-renewable and will soon be diminished. Such renewable resources of energy include the invention of windmills, solar-powered panels and battery-powered cars for transportation.
Conventional cars harm the environment by releasing toxic emissions, adding to the greenhouse effect, thus damaging air quality and the Earth’s ozone layer. Such emissions have allowed more harmful rays to penetrate through the ozone layer and have caused the death of certain vegetation as well as the melting of snowcaps. Hence, there was a need to invent the electric cars, as it would greatly reduce such effects.
In the 20th Century, electric cars were popular. They did not contribute much to noise and air pollution as compared to the gasoline cars and their engines were easier to start. General Electric invented the battery-powered car EV1 in the 1990s. Mayor Michael Bloomberg encouraged people to buy hybrid cars and an electric taxi company was flourishing as it brought service to an entire metropolis. However, due to the decrease in prices for gasoline cars and the fact that gasoline provides more power per galloon, the demand for electric cars declined and almost became extinct. Only the upper class could afford electric cars because they had massive carriages with fancy interiors.
Today, the craze for electric cars is back. Pressured by stricter government regulations, energy security concerns and higher oil prices, car companies are looking into reducing the level of car emissions and increasing fuel efficiency.
With regards to the future, the Boston consulting group has stated in their report, that by 2020, most people will be driving hybrid cars and they will most likely win an overall market share of 28 percent. Hybrids will have a market penetration of above 20 percent and the range extenders will be about 7 percent. Moreover, in countries such as China, Japan, North America, and Western Europe, it has been estimated that 1.5 million fully electric vehicles will be sold in year 2020.
Issues/Challenges/Key Observations
More often than not, ‘green’ products such as these cars may soon be depleted if the demand for them is not high enough. This is due to the fact that businesses that have the visions to produce and sell such products to consumers are relying on the customers’ needs and wants. For instance, if the demand is not there, companies are not able to continue supplying goods. This poses a great challenge for green technology in sustaining the environment.
Furthermore, these electric cars allow the use alternative fuels to generate them. They can reduce carbon emissions up to 25%. However, it is very costly to install additional gas tank and necessary funneling infrastructure. As such, we need big multinational corporations, preferably in the green technology industry, to invest into these operations.
After analyzing the worldwide power generation market, the Boston Consulting Group has stated that in China and India, replacing the internal-combustion engine vehicles with electric cars will not make much of a difference in carbon emissions today or year 2020 because the operations that involve power mixing in electric cars are so carbon intensive. Hence, the carbon emission involved in using electric cars is almost as much as using conventional cars.
Discussion and Analysis:
Can technology replace today’s economy that was built on the usage of non-renewable sources of energy such as fossil fuels and coal?
There has been a rise in concerns over whether these electric cars have the abilities to completely eradicate the internal-combustion engine vehicles in the near future. It is pertinent to note that although these green cars do emit less carbon emissions than the conventional cars, the operations involving power mixing do emit a relatively high level of carbon emissions as well. However, in Europe where power mixing operations are much cleaner and less harmful to the environment, an electric car continues to generate about 55 percent less carbon emissions than a traditional car. Thus, it can be seen that it is in fact, feasible to a relatively large extent, if more drivers are willing to convert to green cars. Not only that carbon emissions will be reduced, the price of maintaining a car will presumably declined as well. This is because oil prices have been on the rise, and it may be cheaper in the long run to purchase an electric car instead as cost of maintenance is alleviated.
It was technology, which accelerated the economy’s growth, and it was technology, which determined the direction corporations had geared towards the past few decades (manufacturing, burning of natural resources to produce energy Etc.). Henceforth, technology should and may actually be the tool that will change the methods of production and improve the economy simultaneously.
Taking Things Forward/ Opportunities:
Clearly, to make this innovation effective in changing everyone’s lives, stronger federal support is required. We need relevant stakeholders to come into play for green technology to dominate our society and save our environment.
First and foremost, governmental authorities should step in and ‘push’ the automotive corporations towards the direction of creating more electric cars and in doing so, minimize the amount of carbon emissions involved. As such, tax incentives or subsidiaries may be provided to both the automobile companies and consumers to encourage them into providing and accepting the use of electric cars today. In addition, the government has to work hand-in-hand with power companies to build public electric charging infrastructure in accessible places (that can act like oil stations) for electric cars to power up their car engines.
On the other hand, these automobile corporations should do whatever it takes to allow the success of such vehicles, that includes implementing prices for both conventional and electric cars on the same level. They need to work with the right companies to ensure the smooth efficiency and safety of the electric cars. Several cooperative arrangements include Toyota and Panasonic as well as Volkswagen and Sanyo. Moreover, these battery manufacturers and suppliers should focus on developing affordable and reliable batteries that can bring about great convenience to both the car companies and consumers.
If more governments can learn from Europe who uses renewable and nuclear energy, power mixing will be cleaner. The processes, in generating electricity to charge the electric cars, release less carbon emissions. Therefore, overall carbon emissions will be reduced tremendously. Other than providing tax incentives to automobile companies and consumers, the governments could educate or encourage its citizens to think long term. They can presumably come up with a policy such as subsidizing the next generation’s electric car when parents have purchased the first one.
Due to the income disparity between the developed countries and less-developed countries, the amount of resources and capital involved in ensuring the future of electric cars may put the less-developed countries at a disadvantage. Although electric cars have been released in African nations including Ethiopia this year, some argue that Africa has yet to provide stable power supplies and sufficient wealth to gain the trust of consumers. Furthermore, such electric cars are seen as luxuries and many Ethiopians who receive low incomes are unable to afford them. To tackle this problem, Solaris, an automobile company, has offered a credit system for the less affluent people to encourage them to switch to driving environmentally friendly vehicles. This approach is especially crucial for the less-developed countries.
According to World Bank, motor vehicles are more common in developed countries (in 1998 there were 585 vehicles per 1000 people in high income countries to just 9 in 1000 people in low income countries and 104 in middle income countries). However, motor vehicles in less developed countries cause severe air pollution as they are saturated in a few large cities where there are poor mechanical conditions and few emission standards. In many transition countries, the number of cars in use increased drastically despite the contraction in economic activity and reduced per capita incomes in the early 1990s. For instance, the passenger car fleet grew 17.5 percent a year during 1990 to 1994 in Moscow. Henceforth, it is critical that more consumers switch to more environmentally friendly vehicles for commutation and more less developed countries receives aid from the automobile corporations in ensuring the future of electric cars in their nations.
Conclusion:
Green technology is the key to preserve the environment and to ensure the future of mankind. Alexis Madrigal (senior editor at the Atlantic) has once said that ‘ Technology doesn’t exist in a vacuum. It is influenced by society – and society, as Madrigal points out, can and does change, which gives us hope for the future ‘. As discussed earlier in the paper, mankind needs to move towards sustainability and that encompasses increasing people’s awareness towards protecting the environment as well as stress the importance of switching from conventional cars to electric cars. Not only do they greatly reduce carbon emissions, the switching process is a form of long-term solution towards solving many of our environmental problems.
Monday, 3 October 2011
BioBusiness!
It is finally the end of week 7! I am sure everyone must be pretty tired from all the mid-term tests and presentations. Do remember to reward yourselves during the recess week before coming back for the remaining 7 weeks of the semester! J
Just to give a brief overview of lesson 7, the main topic was more about the Bio business revolution and biotechnology. Most of the presenters discussed on the issue of Genetically Modified Food and how it has changed and improved our lifestyles. The case study on people having to grow their own meat by laboratory means was brought up during one of the presentations as well. With regards to whether we should continue our ‘artificial’ ways of producing the food we need, I personally feel that it is perfectly fine to continue as long as we do not harm the environment and nature, or even if we do impact them in some way, the harm should be minimized. This aligns with what Professor Shahi has said, “when we are able to grow the resources we need, we will finally be on the road to sustainability.” I certainly agree with Professor Shahi because we should grow what we need, and subsequently find ways to regrow them. We can create all kinds of viable solutions to meet our own needs and that includes growing crops to make them into biofuels. We have the responsibility to ensure resources are allocated for our next generation.
Moreover, I feel that the research, inventions, innovations in the biobusiness field has indeed become a true phenomenon. We have come a long way- from creating solutions to curb widespread famine, to creating all kinds of food to meet the increasing demands of the first world countries. We have shifted our focus from increasing quantity of food to quality of food. From the 1970s when India encountered a wide spread famine, technologies such as high-yield varieties and improved irrigation techniques have managed to increase about 70 percent of the output for crops. Since then, cereal production have more than doubled in Asia and calorie availability per person has also increased by nearly 30 percent. Now, we look into enhancing nutritional value in the many different kinds of food we consume everyday. As such, GM food (Golden Rice) was invented to improve everyone’s quality of health. Not to forget, we have many kinds of foods that are artificially flavoured to allow consumers (especially in the first world countries) to enjoy more flavour in their foods as well.
Lastly, I would like to give my opinions on reading 4 for this lesson. The author stated that both conventional technology and biotechnology is required to curb our current world hunger problem. He emphasized on the importance of the development of biotechnology and that anti science extremists (mainly the environmentalists) should see that technology is the only way world famine problem can be solved in the future. I certainly agree with him because without technology, we may not have such easy access to food today. Our general health conditions have improved. However, it is pertinent to note that the poorer nations should be given the same access as well. We need the private sectors to allow the poorer farmers to adopt the high technology methods, and thus give them a chance not to only improve their standard of living and quality of life, but the citizens in the country. Only then, world hunger can be alleviated.
I would rate this lesson 7/10. I felt that the lesson would have been more interesting if there was a wider range of issues discussed as most of the presentations were on GM food. Nonetheless, I enjoyed the presentations J